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Old 06-13-2008, 11:00 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

IMPACT OF ETHANOL ON RETAIL GASOLINE PRICES IN MISSOURI


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On January 1, 2008 Missouri became the third state to require all gasoline sold in the state to be blended with 10 percent ethanol (E10).
...
The use of a 10 percent ethanol blend saved Missouri drivers 7.7 cents per gallon at the retail pump in 2007 for a total savings of $158.2 million, or $40 for each of Missouri’s 3.9 million licensed drivers. Reflecting current gasoline and ethanol price movements the savings are expected to average 9.8 cents per gallon or $72.80 per driver this year as 10 percent ethanol is used statewide in 2008.
...
As can be seen in Table 1 EIA reported that the average wholesale, or “rack”, price for gasoline in Missouri was $2.195 per gallon in 2007. ... Ethanol is blended with gasoline at the terminal for delivery to retail stations. As reported by USDA, the average price of ethanol, FOB plant in Iowa (the closest reporting point to Missouri) was $1.938 per gallon. The blender who purchases ethanol for use with gasoline qualifies for the $0.51 per gallon Volumetric Ethanol Excise Tax Credit (VEETC) which reduced his actual cost of ethanol to $1.428 per gallon.
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Old 06-14-2008, 11:16 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

With the Iowa floods, they could be adding 20 cents a gallon before long.

Plus the mileage won't be quite as good will it?

Last edited by gardnet1 : 06-14-2008 at 11:19 AM.
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Old 06-14-2008, 11:36 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

Sounds great that they cost 7.2 cents less, but factor in the decreased fuel economy and on many vehicles it will actually cost more. Tests vary (the ethonal sponsored ones even admit to a 1/2 MPG drop and those are qustionable due to the source. Most studies I read vary from 2-10% loss on E10.

Based on my own experience it's a big no it doesn't save anything at 10 cents (the difference here in Iowa). My Fusion losses 2 MPG on E10, my old Taurus work car lost 1 MPG and the company Explorer I had lost 3 (wich I attribute to the fact that it was an E-85 FFV and was compensating for the 10% ethanol content by running richer)

I suggest everyone try 2 tanks of each (checking the mileage on the second tank after adapative strategy has had enough time to adjust to octance and other differences) and see what you fuel economy does. 90% of the people I convince to try this end up choosing to pay the extra 10 cents to get straight gasoline

I'd really like to see E10 eliminated, Make E85 available, but lets not have 7 different choices, 100% gasoline or E85 (and have it readiliy available which eliminating E10 would accomplish by freeing up ethanol and gas pumps both)

http://www.dailygazette.com/news/200.../0203_Ethanol/
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Old 06-14-2008, 11:42 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

good article, nice to see it is bringing the price of gasoline down! gardnet1 does have a good point though, I am curious to see how the midwest flooding effects the ethanol industry. It made corn jump a dollar last week alone, and that may increase after loss totals are calculated and now that lots of places are starting to dry out (or my farm is atleast) it is getting to late to replant corn. So corn we lost will go to beans, and when we get closer to harvest time the price may go up even more, which in turn will propbably raise ethanol prices!
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Old 06-14-2008, 12:23 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

Woo hoo, let me be the first to base my prezdential campaign on a 2.5% cost "saving" minus a 5-10% MPG decrease for a grand total of yet another delusional action by a legislative body.

When the history of the late 20th and early 21st century is written, it will be known as the Upside Down Era or perhaps the Age of Insanity.
We take actions that hurt us while not taking actions that help us. We are ruled by lawyers and MBAs from the Ivy League who have absolutely no clue what they're doing.

E-10 is crap gas, if anyone honest ever runs the numbers an amazing discovery will be made: It works out to a negative, as 90% of legislative/congressional actions do.

Even George McGovern, a seriously simpleminded former senator and 1972 prez candidate who was probably responsible for driving more people from his party than anyone in history to that point, eventually discovered that there is a huge difference between sitting in a giant hall full of the self-important and actually trying to run a business.
His business went bankrupt, due to his own lack of management skills and the huge bureaucratic burden of regulations and red tape which he so self righteously voted for during his career as a Great Leader.

IMHO some people are taking bribes for this, no rational person would do it based on evidence.
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Old 06-14-2008, 12:40 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

I don't remember our gas dropping at all when we went to E10 everywhere. In fact during the change over, I think 2 years ago, some places didn't have gas because there wasn't enough of the E10 blend.
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Old 06-14-2008, 04:02 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

If your car gets 10% fewer miles with a fuel that contains 3% less energy, your car has a problem. There is no way you can attribute a 1 mpg drop in mileage to E10 vs. driving conditions, weather or driving style (caused by the fact that you want to "prove" that E10 is "crap".) There are too many whiners in this country.

The fact is that E10 is making us less reliant on foreign oil and is keeping American dollars in America.
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Old 06-14-2008, 05:56 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

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Originally Posted by TJ95GAGT View Post
I don't remember our gas dropping at all when we went to E10 everywhere. In fact during the change over, I think 2 years ago, some places didn't have gas because there wasn't enough of the E10 blend.

The E10 is cheaper here in the midwest mainly due to the fact that most states are reducing tax on the Ethanol blends to make them cost less than straight gasoline.
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Old 06-14-2008, 06:46 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

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Originally Posted by XCR440SP View Post
Sounds great that they cost 7.2 cents less, but factor in the decreased fuel economy and on many vehicles it will actually cost more. Tests vary (the ethonal sponsored ones even admit to a 1/2 MPG drop and those are qustionable due to the source. Most studies I read vary from 2-10% loss on E10.

Based on my own experience it's a big no it doesn't save anything at 10 cents (the difference here in Iowa). My Fusion losses 2 MPG on E10, my old Taurus work car lost 1 MPG and the company Explorer I had lost 3 (wich I attribute to the fact that it was an E-85 FFV and was compensating for the 10% ethanol content by running richer)

I suggest everyone try 2 tanks of each (checking the mileage on the second tank after adapative strategy has had enough time to adjust to octance and other differences) and see what you fuel economy does. 90% of the people I convince to try this end up choosing to pay the extra 10 cents to get straight gasoline

I'd really like to see E10 eliminated, Make E85 available, but lets not have 7 different choices, 100% gasoline or E85 (and have it readiliy available which eliminating E10 would accomplish by freeing up ethanol and gas pumps both)

http://www.dailygazette.com/news/200.../0203_Ethanol/
2% sounds reasonable, 10% is ridiculous. If 10% ethanol resulted in a 10% drop in economy it would mean that ethanol had an energy content of 0.

My understanding is that 100% ethanol would result in about a 25-30% loss. So logically at 10% a 2-3% loss should be expected. In this case, 7 cents in savings over say $4.00 gas is only about 1.5%, and if you lose 2-3% economy, you are still paying more.

The days of cheap fuel are over, any alternatives are going to be inflated to at least match the cost of gas...nobody is going to sell for less than the maximum they can get. Until some person decides to be a martyr for the good of the nation and take less profit on their alternative fuels, we are screwed. And these people are very, very rare. Only one I can think of is the guy who founded Virgin, he seems to be willing to pay more for the good of society.

Also, I think we need 3 choices. We already have 3 pumps. Any car can run 20% ethanol. All E10 gas should become 20%. Not a money thing.... a moving the money to American and not Arabia thing. Then have 100% gas for the people whos cars may not like alcohol. Then I think E85 needs to go to maybe 75%, at least in the winter, if anyone has ever tried to start an engine in real cold weather on alcohol...it can be a fun experience.

Last edited by logansowner : 06-14-2008 at 06:51 PM.
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Old 06-14-2008, 07:05 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

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Originally Posted by XCR440SP View Post
The E10 is cheaper here in the midwest mainly due to the fact that most states are reducing tax on the Ethanol blends to make them cost less than straight gasoline.
Makes sense. Maybe I just didn't notice because all pumps here changed over to E10 at once, so there was no price comparison.
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Old 06-14-2008, 07:19 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

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Originally Posted by logansowner View Post
2% sounds reasonable, 10% is ridiculous. If 10% ethanol resulted in a 10% drop in economy it would mean that ethanol had an energy content of 0.

My understanding is that 100% ethanol would result in about a 25-30% loss. So logically at 10% a 2-3% loss should be expected. In this case, 7 cents in savings over say $4.00 gas is only about 1.5%, and if you lose 2-3% economy, you are still paying more.

The days of cheap fuel are over, any alternatives are going to be inflated to at least match the cost of gas...nobody is going to sell for less than the maximum they can get. Until some person decides to be a martyr for the good of the nation and take less profit on their alternative fuels, we are screwed. And these people are very, very rare. Only one I can think of is the guy who founded Virgin, he seems to be willing to pay more for the good of society.

Also, I think we need 3 choices. We already have 3 pumps. Any car can run 20% ethanol. All E10 gas should become 20%. Not a money thing.... a moving the money to American and not Arabia thing. Then have 100% gas for the people whos cars may not like alcohol. Then I think E85 needs to go to maybe 75%, at least in the winter, if anyone has ever tried to start an engine in real cold weather on alcohol...it can be a fun experience.
WRONG. A lot of cars can not or should not run any more than E10 at the very most. My owner's manual says E10 is the most E I can run, any more and the warranty may not be honored. Fine fix I'd be in if all I could get is E20 which would cut my MPG and kill my warranty.

The jury is not in on E10, mandating it is just one more stupid, shoot-in-the-foot action that PC-panicked legislatures are taking without sufficient information. Not that that ever stopped them before.
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Old 06-14-2008, 08:33 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

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WRONG. A lot of cars can not or should not run any more than E10 at the very most. My owner's manual says E10 is the most E I can run, any more and the warranty may not be honored. Fine fix I'd be in if all I could get is E20 which would cut my MPG and kill my warranty.

The jury is not in on E10, mandating it is just one more stupid, shoot-in-the-foot action that PC-panicked legislatures are taking without sufficient information. Not that that ever stopped them before.
Ok, keep it at 10%, but how can the jury be out on it? It isn't a price thing. It's about keeping our money here. $700B a year goes for foreign countries from the US I believe. At 10% ethanol -3% lower economy, that's a 7% drop in gas being used. How exactly is that bad, I mean unless you own an oil company?
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Old 06-15-2008, 01:18 AM   #13 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

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Ok, keep it at 10%, but how can the jury be out on it? It isn't a price thing. It's about keeping our money here. $700B a year goes for foreign countries from the US I believe. At 10% ethanol -3% lower economy, that's a 7% drop in gas being used. How exactly is that bad, I mean unless you own an oil company?
IF it were merely a 3% MPG drop with E10, that would make for a more reasonable argument.

When you go from 34 to 22 (07 Spectra 2.0), or from fine and dandy to won't pull a 4000' hill (01 PT 2.4), or when your MPG drops about 10% over four or five tanks (04 Impala 3.4), then it's not a 3% MPG drop.

I am not seeing where the economy comes in if your gas is 2.5% cheaper and your MPG drops 10-40%. Maybe it's new math.
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Old 06-15-2008, 11:02 AM   #14 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

They went to the ethanol blend because it burns cleaner, not to save you money.
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Old 06-15-2008, 11:19 AM   #15 (permalink)
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Re: Missouri: E10 mandate lowering gas price by 9.8 cents per gallon

To all you ethanol haters: My suburban goes over 100 miles before burning a single gallon of gasoline while running on E85. I'm keeping the money at home, and that puts less dependence upon foreign oil...and foreign politics...and foreign butt kissing...and foreign wars. What's there to dislike...besides the people who will argue for the sake of not admitting they're wrong?
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