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Old 05-30-2005, 12:10 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Monday, May 30, 2005

Todd McInturf / The Detroit News

Jimm White of Farmington Hills bought his 2005 Ford Escape Hybrid in September. "It's a neat car, and the gauges let you see how you're saving and using gas," he says.


Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Buyers face long waits and some pay premiums for latest fuel-efficient cars.

By Christine Tierney / The Detroit News
In March 2004, a year before Toyota Motor Corp. began assembling hybrid versions of its Highlander SUV, Vince Procopio secured a choice spot on the waiting list with a $200 deposit. His order assured him the second gas-electric Highlander delivered to his dealer in Center Line.

Procopio grew tired of waiting and bought a secondhand Jaguar S-Type, but he held on to his Highlander order. Last month, he sold it for $499 on the eBay online marketplace.

"What gave me the idea was salesmen who told me, you can get a premium on it. They were so much in demand," said Procopio, a Troy salesman.

With gas prices hovering near record highs, dealers are selling every hybrid they can get. The gas-electric cars may have started out as a fad six years ago, but they appear to have staying power in the market even though they cost several thousand dollars more than conventional gas-powered models.

Waiting lists are so long that many customers are paying extra just to move ahead in line. Others are paying full sticker price for a used hybrid -- a practice rarely seen outside the trade of Ferraris and other super sports cars.

While automakers rely on cash rebates to prod sales, some car dealers are marking up the price of hybrids, or simply turning customers away.

Toyota already has 12,000 U.S. orders -- a six-month backlog -- for the hybrid Highlander sport utility vehicle, although the model will not hit showrooms until June.

The Japanese automaker has curtailed advertising for its new Lexus RX 400h hybrid to trim the order backlog. It now stands at 9,000.

"At the local Lexus dealer, they said it would be at least a year to get into the Lexus RX 400h, and I should get into a 330," said Lydia Segal, a physician from Alexandria, Va.

Ford Motor Co., the first automaker to produce a hybrid SUV, says customers wait two months, on average, to take home a gas-electric Escape.

Six years ago, when Honda Motor Co. brought its Insight hybrid compact to the U.S. market, it attracted mostly hard-core environmentalists.

But with hybrid technology now available in a wider range of vehicles, hybrids are appealing to a broader audience.

"We've seen pent-up demand for exotic cars, like the Ford GT, or limited-production models, but we've never seen this type of demand for a vehicle that is somewhat mainstream," said Mike Chung, pricing and market analyst at the online auto research firm Edmunds.com.



Cars twice as clean



As the name suggests, hybrids have conventional internal combustion engines as well as electric motors, which can assist the gas engine. In a full hybrid system, the electric motor can take over, especially during slow driving conditions, in city traffic, for instance, when internal combustion engines perform least efficiently.

The vehicles are about twice as fuel-efficient -- and less than half as polluting -- as similar gas-powered models.

"It's a neat car, and the gauges let you see how you're saving and using gas," says Jimm White, a financial adviser for Wachovia Securities in Southfield.

He bought a Ford Escape hybrid in September. "(The) No. 1 reason I bought it was for the gas mileage. No. 2, to join my daughter, who has had two (Toyota) Priuses, and I wanted an American hybrid. And No. 3, the country's got to start saving gasoline," White said.

While most hybrid buyers list fuel efficiency and low emissions as their primary reasons, demand also is fueled by factors ranging from the novelty of the technology to tax breaks and access to carpool lanes in some cities, and even political concerns.

Jim Press, chief operating officer of Toyota's U.S. sales division, says the cost of oil now includes more than crude and refining costs. Referring to the war in Iraq, he told analysts in January: "Would we be there if it wasn't for oil?"



A steep growth curve



Currently, hybrids account for only 1 percent of U.S. auto sales -- but that measure does not take into account potential buyers like Procopio who grew tired of waiting.

Edmunds.com's Chung estimates hybrids will triple or even quadruple their share of industry sales over the next three years as automakers ramp up output. Similarly, J.D. Power and Associates predicts hybrid vehicles will account for 3 percent of the U.S. light-vehicle market by 2008.

So far, hybrids are proving to be reliable vehicles, according to Consumer Reports magazine, although there are hiccups. Toyota is now looking into a handful of reports that Prius engines are losing power or stalling.

Some auto executives, including Renault and Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn, say the business case for hybrids is weak because they are more expensive to produce. Toyota says it makes money selling hybrids, but its rivals aren't convinced.

GM executives initially viewed Toyota's commitment to the technology as a shrewd public relations exercise.

But both GM and Nissan now plan to offer full hybrids. GM teamed with DaimlerChrysler AG in December to develop front- and rear-wheel drive hybrid vehicles.

Last week, Nissan announced plans to produce a hybrid Altima sedan in North America in late 2006, using technology licensed from Toyota.



A growing lineup



Ford, intent on burnishing its environmental credentials, will expand its hybrid lineup to include a gas-electric version of the Mercury Mariner sedan later this year, a Mazda Tribute in 2007, and hybrid Ford Fusion and Mercury Milan sedans in 2008.

"Those all run off the four-cylinder hybrid configuration we have now" on the Escape, said Bryan Olson, marketing manager for the Escape hybrid.

After the success of its Prius hybrid compact, Toyota developed a more robust hybrid drive train for the Toyota-brand and Lexus SUVs.

Fitted with six-cylinder gas engines, the Highlander hybrid and Lexus RX 400h, which came out in April, are the largest full hybrids on the market and deliver the greatest torque and towing capacity.



More and fancier options



By expanding hybrid technology into premium segments, Toyota is reaching out to a more demanding class of customer.

Dylan Hixon, an investment manager in New York City, ordered a Lexus RX 400h 1 1/2 years ago and took delivery last month.

"I had made the decision to get a hybrid as soon as one with size, power, comfort and technology acceptable to me was available," he said.

"I could not be more pleased with the car. I am getting about 27 miles per gallon, which is roughly twice the mileage of the 2000 Range Rover that the RX 400h replaced."

Next year, Toyota will launch a rear-wheel-drive hybrid sport sedan, the Lexus GS 450h.

It will also begin producing a hybrid version of its best-selling Camry at its Georgetown, Ky., plant in 2006.

Honda's hybrid vehicle sales have ballooned from 17 in 1999, to 16,000 in 2002 when it introduced a hybrid Civic, to more than 27,000 last year. Its hybrid Civic and Accord sedan set sales records in April.

While waiting for more hybrids to roll into showrooms, customers are jockeying for anything available -- new or used.

Chung says used Toyota Prius models sell for sticker price or just under, while secondhand Insights and Civic hybrids retain less value because they are older.

With demand surging now for new hybrids, many dealers bid up the price.

Tom French of Hermosa Beach, Calif., says the first Toyota dealer he visited initially resisted adding "market value" markups.

But five months after French put down a deposit on a Highlander hybrid, "we received a call from another salesman who informed us that the price would include $2,000 for market value."

French canceled the order and went to another dealer.

"We've been very firm with our dealers about holding the line on MSRPs (manufacturer suggested retail price)," said Toyota spokesman John Hanson.

"From the customer satisfaction point of view, the wait is enough of an inconvenience without having to worry about additional dealer markups," he said.

These days, that's an unusual dilemma for automakers. "It's up to the dealer to negotiate the price," said Ford's Olson. "We tell customers to shop around for the best deal." Source
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Old 05-30-2005, 01:33 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

High demand means people buying Hybrids are stupid and possibly largly techno-geeks. The Escape Hybrid costs about $6,000 more than the regular escape on avg for about 10-12mpg on average more in real life driving.

Where I live, gas is now down to about $2 a gallon for regular. That means I could buy 3000 gallons of gas (or thereabouts) for the difference. I personally only consume about 1000 gallons of gas a year. A hybrid would take me down to around 750-800. As was reported in CR, I believe, it will take 12 years for the Hybrid to actually save you money on gas due to its premium price and that doesn't even include increased maintanence cost and the expensive replacement of batteries. The only benefit now is that you don't lose much money on a used hybrid, but that will change when they become more common.

I think several manufacturers who don't have burgeoning hybrid lines should point out that hybrids end up costing people more money - that you're better off with a standard four cylinder in the small cars, etc. They should also point out safety issues and the fact that firemen may not be too quick about freeing you if trapped inside a hybrid car due to high voltage cables that could injure or kill them and the occupants.

While it's clear that hybrids are growing in popularity, I don't see them becoming huge until someone makes the hybrids the same cost as standard cars. If GM, for instance, could produce a Hybrid Cobalt for the same price as the standard Cobalt then a mass market shift would happen (or Toyota the Corolla, etc - you get the picture). I don't see that happening now. Hybrids also don't reduce oil dependancy, which is why alternative fuels is the best way to go and that's what GM is pouring the most jack into.
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Old 05-30-2005, 01:51 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Quote:
Originally Posted by macphisto
While it's clear that hybrids are growing in popularity, I don't see them becoming huge until someone makes the hybrids the same cost as standard cars.
That will be the day when non-hybrids are history.
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Old 05-30-2005, 02:44 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Well, on the bright side, that's 21,000 (12,000 + 9,000) possibly pissed off Toyota Mo. Co. customers when they find out their actual mileage will vary quite a bit from the advertised mileage, which might hurt Toyota in the IQS survey!
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Old 05-30-2005, 03:19 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Quote:
Originally Posted by SobeSVT
That will be the day when non-hybrids are history.
Could this be what GM is up to with their simple, cheap, belt driven hybrid starter/alternator? I see no reason, after an initial release to get people used to the concept, they can't apply it to every single vehicle they sell. This would make the standard automotive starter obsolete, and also eliminate wasted gas and increased emisions from cars sitting still in traffic.
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Old 05-30-2005, 03:51 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Quote:
Originally Posted by macphisto

They should also point out safety issues and the fact that firemen may not be too quick about freeing you if trapped inside a hybrid car due to high voltage cables that could injure or kill them and the occupants.

While it's clear that hybrids are growing in popularity, I don't see them becoming huge until someone makes the hybrids the same cost as standard cars. If GM, for instance, could produce a Hybrid Cobalt for the same price as the standard Cobalt then a mass market shift would happen (or Toyota the Corolla, etc - you get the picture). I don't see that happening now. Hybrids also don't reduce oil dependancy, which is why alternative fuels is the best way to go and that's what GM is pouring the most jack into.
toyota has already stated that their hybrids lines are routed under the car and has a different coloring wires, and their are plugs to which you can unplug the wires

doubling the mileage of what you used to have in the same car decreases the amount of oil you use and less time at the pump
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Old 05-30-2005, 03:54 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Quote:
Originally Posted by Parkwood60
Could this be what GM is up to with their simple, cheap, belt driven hybrid starter/alternator? I see no reason, after an initial release to get people used to the concept, they can't apply it to every single vehicle they sell. This would make the standard automotive starter obsolete, and also eliminate wasted gas and increased emisions from cars sitting still in traffic.
sitting in traffic with gas engine off pollutes nothing

the prius has a thing that keeps engine oils warm and sends it through the engine each start-up to get the gas engine to ideal temeratures in seconds, instead of letting the car get warm in idle
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Old 05-30-2005, 05:10 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Here we go again. People who are buying hybrids aren't really doing it to save themselves money, they're buying the cars because they MAKE THEM FEEL GOOD ABOUT THEMSELVES!!! It's a status thing, it's a techo thing, it's an enviro thing. People are willing to pay a premium for that. GM is missing the boat and is precieved as being behind the times, and it'll only be worse if they launch this half @ssed system that has been described and consumers really find out what it is, compared to the full hybrids of Toyota, Honda and Ford.
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Old 05-30-2005, 06:49 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Gm has a terrible hybrid system. 10% better gas milage is horrable considering other hybrids. Have you seen a Toyota electric motor? They're huge.
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Old 05-30-2005, 07:31 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

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Originally Posted by pupp1
Ford, intent on burnishing its environmental credentials, will expand its hybrid lineup to include a gas-electric version of the Mercury Mariner sedan later this year, a Mazda Tribute in 2007, and hybrid Ford Fusion and Mercury Milan sedans in 2008.

"I could not be more pleased with the car. I am getting about 27 miles per gallon, which is roughly twice the mileage of the 2000 Range Rover that the RX 400h replaced."

Chung says used Toyota Prius models sell for sticker price or just under, while secondhand Insights and Civic hybrids retain less value because they are older.
1. The Mariner is the SUV clone of the Escape. Get your facts straight.
2. Of course a Hybrid with a V6 is gonna get better fuel mileage than a V-8. Any idiot could of figured that one out.
3. The reason the Prius is such a hot item is because of how weird it looks. Any one with half a brain can recognize it as a hybrid. While the Insights down fall is that it is impractical and the Civic well just looks like any old Civic to the common consumer.
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Old 05-30-2005, 09:07 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Hybrids are great. The more of them that are on the street the stronger the message sent to oil producing countries that we do have alternatives. If every gas passenger vehicle in America was a hybrid, we could live without Arabian oil. (25% of our imports are Arabian I believe?)
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Old 05-30-2005, 10:24 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Quote:
Originally Posted by SVT2888
1. The Mariner is the SUV clone of the Escape. Get your facts straight.
2. Of course a Hybrid with a V6 is gonna get better fuel mileage than a V-8. Any idiot could of figured that one out.
3. The reason the Prius is such a hot item is because of how weird it looks. Any one with half a brain can recognize it as a hybrid. While the Insights down fall is that it is impractical and the Civic well just looks like any old Civic to the common consumer.
This is a news article that I have found.
So get your facts straight.If you disagree with the article, that is up to you, but don't go telling me to get my facts straight, when all I do is post the articles exactly the way I find them.Besides all of that if you read the whole article and understood what it was saying, you would know that it says the mariner is based off of the escape.
Quote:
Originally Posted by pupp1
Ford, intent on burnishing its environmental credentials, will expand its hybrid lineup to include a gas-electric version of the Mercury Mariner sedan later this year, a Mazda Tribute in 2007, and hybrid Ford Fusion and Mercury Milan sedans in 2008.

"Those all run off the four-cylinder hybrid configuration we have now" on the Escape, said Bryan Olson, marketing manager for the Escape hybrid.
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Old 05-30-2005, 10:31 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

I wasn't telling you. Sorry if it came out that way. Just hate it when non-car people try to write about cars and make obvious screw ups.
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Old 05-30-2005, 10:32 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Oh I can't wait to see CadillacAuroras excuse for this.
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Old 05-30-2005, 10:32 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Re: Hybrid vehicle demand soars

Ok, no problem.Sorry if I misunderstood you.
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